| SOA真题May2005Course6 |
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Course 6: Spring 2005 - 1 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE Morning Session COURSE 6 MORNING SESSION SECTION A – WRITTEN ANSWER Course 6: Spring 2005 - 2 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE Morning Session **BEGINNING OF EXAMINATION** MORNING SESSION 1. (5 points) Your company is evaluating active and quasi-passive investment strategies for bond portfolio management. (a) Define each quasi-passive indexation approach. (b) Describe the advantages and disadvantages of each quasi-passive indexation approach. (c) Explain the reasons your company would consider an active investment strategy. (d) Describe the sector and security strategies that an active investment manager would use to select individual bonds. 2. (7 points) Your company is offering a 15-year term-certain immediate annuity with payments linked to the CPI. Policyholders can withdraw funds on demand at market values. The universe of available investments consists of the following: %26#8226; Short-term T-bills %26#8226; Real return public bonds %26#8226; Corporate bonds %26#8226; Real estate (a) Outline the advantages and disadvantages of each investment for backing this annuity. (b) Recommend an investment strategy using the investments available. (c) Describe the major components of an accumulated cash flow scenario-based model. (d) Outline the major components of the investment policy statement for this product. Course 6: Spring 2005 - 3 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE Morning Session 3. (5 points) You are given the following information: Bond Term Effective Duration Effective Convexity A 5 3.1 -41.7 B 5 4.5 23.4 C 5 4.2 21.3 D 5 2.7 64.5 The option and price characteristics of Bonds A, B, C and D are as follows: %26#8226; one bond is option-free with a current price above par %26#8226; one bond is option-free with a current price below par %26#8226; one bond is callable, priced at par %26#8226; one bond is putable, priced at par (a) Determine the option and price characteristics corresponding to each of Bonds A, B, C and D. Explain your answer. (b) Assess the limitations of duration as an interest rate risk measure. (c) Define convexity. Compare effective convexity and modified convexity. (d) Calculate the approximate percentage price change for Bonds A and B assuming a decrease in yield of 0.50%. Show all work. Course 6: Spring 2005 - 4 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE Morning Session 4. (10 points) You are given the following with respect to treasury securities as of today, May 13, 2005: Security Years to Maturity Annual Coupon Rate Paid Semi-annually Yield-to-maturity A 0.5 0% 3.0% B 1.0 0% 3.2% C 1.5 6% 3.5% D 2.0 5% 3.6% (a) Calculate the spot rate for each maturity date. (b) Explain how arbitrage profits could be made from coupon stripping. (c) Calculate the one-year forward rate, one year from today. (d) With respect to the pure expectations theory (i) Describe the theory (ii) Describe the interpretations of the theory that have been put forth by economists (iii) Explain the shortcomings of the theory (e) With respect to other theories of term structure of interest rates: (i) Briefly describe each theory (ii) Using each theory, compare the one-year spot on May 13, 2006, with the one-year forward rate calculated in (c) Show all work. Course 6: Spring 2005 - 5 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE Morning Session 5. (5 points) You are given the following information with respect to Stock XYZ: %26#8226; price: 50 %26#8226; variance: 4% %26#8226; dividend rate: 0% The risk-free rate compounded continuously is 6%. You are also given the following selected values from the Standard Normal Cumulative Distribution Function: Z N(Z) Z N(Z) Z N(Z) .01 0.5040 .11 0.5438 .21 0.5832 .02 0.5080 .12 0.5478 .22 0.5871 .03 0.5120 .13 0.5517 .23 0.5910 .04 0.5160 .14 0.5557 .24 0.5948 .05 0.5199 .15 0.5596 .25 0.5987 .06 0.5239 .16 0.5636 .26 0.6026 .07 0.5279 .17 0.5675 .27 0.6064 .08 0.5319 .18 0.5714 .28 0.6103 .09 0.5359 .19 0.5753 .29 0.6141 .10 0.5398 .20 0.5793 .30 0.6179 (a) List the assumptions required for put-call parity. (b) Use the Black-Scholes formula to calculate the price of a one-year European call option on Stock XYZ with a strike price of 52. (c) Calculate the price of a one-year European put option on Stock XYZ with a strike price of 52. Show all work. Course 6: Spring 2005 - 6 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE Morning Session 6. (6 points) You are given the following with respect to a portfolio of bonds: Bond Annual Coupon Par Market Value Option Features Years to Maturity A 4.50% 100 100 none 2 B 6.00% 100 callable in one year at 101 2 You are given the following with respect to a binomial lattice: %26#8226; rL : 4% %26#8226; σ : 15% %26#8226; time interval between nodes: 1 year (a) Calculate the one-year spot rate. (b) Calculate the two-year spot rate. (c) Calculate the one-year implied forward rate. (d) Calculate the value of the option in Bond B. Show all work.
7. (4 points) Outline the risks faced by a U.S. investor in purchasing a 10-year privatelyplaced U.S. corporate callable bond. Course 6: Spring 2005 - 7 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE Morning Session COURSE 6 MORNING SESSION SECTION B – MULTIPLE CHOICE Course 6: Spring 2005 - 8 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE Morning Session 1-5. Each of questions 1 through 5 consists of two lists. In the list at the left are two items, lettered X and Y. In the list at the right are three items, numbered I, II and III. ONE of the lettered items is related in some way to EXACTLY TWO of the numbered items. Indicate the related items using the following answer code: Lettered Item Is Related to Numbered Items (A) X I and II only (B) X II and III only (C) Y I and II only (D) Y I and III only (E) The correct answer is not given by (A), (B), (C) or (D). 1. X. Yield-to-maturity return method I. Requires an explicit reinvestment rate assumption Y. Total return method II. Is commonly used for pricing and trading III. Ignores the capital gain or loss from security sales 2. X. Effective duration matching I. Very expensive to implement Y. Cash flow matching II. Only works for small changes in interest rates III. Accounts for options embedded in the assets and liabilities Course 6: Spring 2005 - 9 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE Morning Session 3. X. Tracking error of 68 basis points I. Assuming a normal distribution, there is a 68% probability that the portfolio return over the next year will be within one standard deviation of the annualized benchmark return Y. Portfolio β of 68% II. The portfolio has less volatility than the benchmark III. Expect a 68 basis point increase in the portfolio return if there is a 100 basis point increase in the benchmark return 4. X. Planned amortization classes I. Priced at tighter spreads to the Treasury curve than sequential-pay bonds Y. Accretion-directed classes II. Redirect principal only III. Complete protection against extension of average life if interest rates rise 5. X. Increase in volatility I. Decreases the value of a putable bond Y. Decrease in volatility II. Increases the value of a call option III. For a given price, increases the option-adjusted spread for a putable bond Course 6: Spring 2005 - 10 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE Morning Session 6-10. Questions 6 through 10 consist of an assertion in the left-hand column and a reason in the right-hand column. Code your answer to each question by blackening space: (A) If both the assertion and the reason are true statements, and the reason is a correct explanation of the assertion. (B) If both the assertion and the reason are true statements, but the reason is NOT a correct explanation of the assertion. (C) If the assertion is a true statement, but the reason is a false statement. (D) If the assertion is a false statement, but the reason is a true statement. (E) If both the assertion and the reason are false statements. 6. ASSERTION Returns on the S%26amp;P 500 stock index are not affected by stock splits. BECAUSE REASON Returns on market-value-weighted indices are based on holding investments in proportion to their market values. 7. ASSERTION The extended Vasicek model is able to provide an exact fit to the current term structure of interest rates. BECAUSE REASON The drift term in the extended Vasicek model is time-independent. Course 6: Spring 2005 - 11 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE Morning Session 8. ASSERTION Firm-wide stress tests are reviewed frequently but changed infrequently. BECAUSE REASON Stress tests may be usefully applied to markets in which illiquid conditions produce asset price jumps and impede securities trading during times of stress. 9. ASSERTION The FHA experience method is rarely used as a prepayment model. BECAUSE REASON The FHA experience method does not reflect the effect of age on prepayments.
10. ASSERTION If a risk-free asset is available, only aggressive investors will be affected by a restriction on borrowing. BECAUSE REASON A borrowing restriction drives aggressive investors to portfolios on the efficient frontier of risky assets. Course 6: Spring 2005 - 12 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE[1] [2] [3] 下一页 |
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