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COURSE 8: Fall 2003 -1- GO TO NEXT PAGE Health, Group Life %26amp; Managed Care Morning Session **BEGINNING OF EXAMINATION** HEALTH, GROUP LIFE %26amp; MANAGED CARE MORNING SESSION 1. (4 points) Your CEO is departing for a meeting to discuss the marketing strategy for a new managed care product. He has asked you to brief him on the following topics: (a) With regard to distribution models (i) Describe traditional and alternative distribution models. (ii) Describe considerations relative to the major constituent groups that influence the distribution process. (b) Describe market segments commonly used for managed care products. Questions 2 – 8 pertain to the Case Study 2. (9 points) You have been asked to analyze the claim experience for Wonderful Life in Tables MM-6a and MM-6b of the case study. (a) Describe the impact on trend of company-specific care management initiatives. (b) Calculate the year-over- year quarterly rolling trend for 3Q02 and 4Q02. (c) Recommend baseline trends for Hospital, Non-Hospital and Total Medical Costs. Assume the last half of 2002 is predictive of future trends. Justify your answer. (d) Based on the following assumptions: %26#8226;%26#61472;%26#61472;On January 1, 2003, 50% of the hospitals will accept 10% discount off the 2003 Hospital contracted rate. %26#8226;%26#61472;%26#61472;These hospitals deliver 1/3 of your facility care. %26#8226;%26#61472;%26#61472;The remaining hospital contract costs will increase as expected. %26#8226;%26#61472;%26#61472;Utilizatio n does not change. Calculate a revised estimate of Hospital and Total Medical Trend. Show your work. (e) Marketing has just sold a large group with 5,000 employees (12,000 members). All of the group members will only use hospitals that accept the 10% discount. Calculate a revised estimate of Total Medical Trend. Show your work. COURSE 8: Fall 2003 -2- GO TO NEXT PAGE Health, Group Life %26amp; Managed Care Morning Session Questions 2 – 8 pertain to the Case Study 3. (13 points) You are a consultant for Bailey Industries. Bailey has been struggling to balance increased medical costs against emplo yee demand for more choice in coverage. Bailey is considering the adoption of a new medical plan with patient-directed benefits. In addition to Table B-1, you are given the following claims probability distribution and proposed benefit options: Claims Range Percentage of Employees with claims cost in range Average claims cost per employee in range $0 15% 0 $1 - $1,000 40% $400 $1,000 - $2,000 15% $1,500 $2,000 - $5,000 15% $3,500 $5,000+ 15% $25,000 Option A Option B Deductible $1,000 $2,000 Coinsurance 10% 20% Annual Employee Premium $0 $0 Employer funds placed in Employees PHA $500 $1,250 (a) (1 point) Describe problematic aspects of the current employer-sponsored system for employers and employees. (b) (3 points) Describe key implementation considerations for an employer adopting a PDHB approach and how they would apply to Bailey Industries. (c) (3 points) Describe models used to predict selection costs for the medical options. Identify and explain why certain models are not appropriate for evaluating costs for Bailey Industries. (d) (6 points) Assume a group of all single employees who, absent choice, would be equally distributed between the two options. Assume PHA (Personal Health Account) funds are expenses to Bailey Industries. (i) Construct a choice model for Options A%26amp;B and calculate maximum adverse selection cost. (ii) Explain why adverse selection will be less than the amount calculated by a choice model. (iii) Describe methods to manage adverse selection in PDHB models. COURSE 8: Fall 2003 -3- GO TO NEXT PAGE Health, Group Life %26amp; Managed Care Morning Session Questions 2 – 8 pertain to the Case Study 4. (5 points)
You are the chief actuary for Wonderful Life. You must determine whether Wonderful Life needs to hold any premium deficiency reserves (PDR). (a) (1 point) Outline assumptions to be considered when calculating a PDR. (b) (1 point) Recommend the groupings Wonderful Life should use to assess the need for a PDR. Support your recommendation. (c) (3 points) In addition to Tables MM-1, MM-7, and MM-2a you are given the following information: %26#8226;%26#61472;%26#61472;The overall 2003 rate increase is limited to 12% due to small employer rating requirements. %26#8226;%26#61472;%26#61472;This rate increase limit only applies to 2003. %26#8226;%26#61472;%26#61472;Member termination from 2002 to 2003 will be at the same rate as has been experienced in the past. %26#8226;%26#61472;%26#61472;Expenses are calculated assuming an average of 1.75 members per employee. %26#8226;%26#61472;%26#61472;Ignore interest and income taxes. Determine if a PDR should be held as of 12/31/2002 for the closed block of business in Wonderful Life’s Small Group Department. COURSE 8: Fall 2003 -4- GO TO NEXT PAGE Health, Group Life %26amp; Managed Care Morning Session Questions 2 – 8 pertain to the Case Study 5. (7 points) Your manager at Wonderful Life Insurance Company has asked you to calculate renewal rates for Group 6 for a March 1, 2003, renewal date using a combination of multi- year loss ratio and catastrophic pooling methods. In addition to information from Tables MM-2a and MM-2b: %26#8226;%26#61472;%26#61472;Assume case characteristics for Option 1 and Option 2 are the same for both years as shown in Table MM-3b. %26#8226;%26#61472;%26#61472;The gross premium for Group 6 for July 1, 2000 to June 30, 2001 was $5,800,000. %26#8226;%26#61472;%26#61472;Weights for averaging are 75% for current rating period and 25% for prior rating period. Calculate the annual gross premium for an employee with dependents selecting Option 1. Show your work. 6. (3 points) You have been asked to develop materials for a meeting to discuss Wonderful Life’s 5- year plan. (a) Describe possible strategies a group insurance company could use to gain a competitive advantage. (b) Describe how Wonderful Life Insurance Company has demonstrated these strategies in their four primary business divisions. Give an example of such a strategy for each division. COURSE 8: Fall 2003 -5- GO TO NEXT PAGE Health, Group Life %26amp; Managed Care Morning Session Questions 2 – 8 pertain to the Case Study 7. (8 points) In addition to the information provided in Tables C-1, C-2, MM-1, MM-4a to MM-6b, you have been given the following: %26#8226;%26#61472;%26#61472;Investment income and taxes are based on 2002 corporate levels %26#8226;%26#61472;%26#61472;Corporate after-tax Return on Equity (ROE) objective for 2003 = 15% %26#8226;%26#61472;%26#61472;Cost of Capital = 10% %26#8226;%26#61472;%26#61472;Risk-based surplus for Major Medical division is 18% of premium. %26#8226;%26#61472;%26#61472;Recast of Major Medical Division’s IBNR as of 12/31/99 is $50,000 more than originally booked. Total of MM-6a %26amp; 6b Year Incurred and Paid ($1,000s) Incurred Estimate ($1,000s) IBNR Estimate ($1,000s) 2000 $1,004,700 $1,004,700 $0 2001 $1,125,200 $1,126,224 $1,024 2002 $1,121,300 $1,378,977 $257,677 (a) (1 point) Describe the importance of using recast data in financial management. (b) (3 points) Convert the corporate ROE objective into the equivalent: (ii) corporate underwriting gain objective (iii) corporate loss ratio objective (c) (4 points) Using recast claims data, calculate the Economic Value Added as a percentage of capital invested for the Major Medical Division for 2000, 2001 and 2002. Show your work. COURSE 8: Fall 2003 -6- STOP Health, Group Life %26amp; Managed Care Morning Session Questions 2 – 8 pertain to the Case Study8. (6 points) You are evaluating Wonderful Life
’s reserves and believe the claim lag pattern may have recently changed. (a) Calculate the age-to-age development factors based on 9/2001 to 12/2002 emerging experience using claims paid in the most recent two months on Table MM-4b. (b) Estimate incurred claims for December 2002 assuming all claims are complete after 15 months. (c) Describe considerations involved in using age-to-age development factors to estimate incurred claims. 9. (5 points) You are the pricing actuary for the division of LTDC Life Insurance selling group long term disability and group long term care products. Given the recent fluctuations in the experience, you are considering implementing a reinsurance agreement but must convince your Vice-President that it is needed. (a) Explain the different approaches LTDC Life can use to reinsure its Group LTD and LTC products. (b) Explain risk characteristics of each product line that make the use of reinsurance attractive. **END OF EXAMINATION* MORNING SESSION COURSE 8: Fall 2003 - 7 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE Managed Care Segment Afternoon Session **BEGINNING OF EXAMINATION** MANAGED CARE SEGMENT AFTERNOON SESSION Beginning With Question 10 10. (3 points) You have been asked to summarize the report of the SOA Medical Effectiveness Task Force. (a) Explain the importance of measuring medical effectiveness. (b) Explain the main health plan performance evaluation categories. COURSE 8: Fall 2003 - 8 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE Managed Care Segment Afternoon Session 11. (4 points) Your company offers an insurance product with the following equally likely events. Severity of Claim Given Event Occurs Event Frequency of Claim Given Event Occurs Probability Claim Size 1 25% 75% 25% 1,000 500 2 50% 50% 50% 1,[1] [2] [3] 下一页 |